Punch the numbers we know into this formula, and our fold equity is 33% (60% chance of a fold x out hand. We “win” when our opponent folds. Players who limp like to see flops. ago. hero…So in this event because I shoved $6X into $4X preflop pot, I would like to know my fold equity in addition to pot equity that is adjusted for hitting the $5 rake cap if the PFR does call making it a ~$130 + +$40 in dead-money pot of $170. Watch Fold Equity with a subscription on Hulu, or buy it on Apple TV, Vudu, Amazon Prime Video. The BTN has room to call and still fold some hands to a BB shove, but even that comes at a cost. You have another answer to raise. We extract value when the 3-bettor calls the 4-bet with weaker hands. A shove of 17k into a 10k bet has very little fold equity, whereas a 3x 20BB call has a lot more. Flop :8c :9h :Th ($240) Vs a SB range of 22-JJ, Aqo+, AJs, KQs we have about 35% equity on the flop. Alpha – refers to how often the villain needs to fold for you to break even with a 0% equity bluff. Even if he thinks Rigby is overbluffing it is likely that he is going to have something that has a decent amount of equity vs 3rd pair. Villain must call Bet or fold. Remember to use fold equity concepts against players who understand poker. There is a huge difference between a raw Flush Draw or OESD and one with added equity in the form of a combo draw. Let’s say that you open-raise with 5♣ 5♦ from the Cutoff, the Button 3-bets, and you call. CO c-bets 33% pot. ($256 + $340 * 2 + $130) * 10% - $340. Fold Equity Refinements Blockers & Card Removal Backdoor Draws Advanced EV Formula Game Theory 101 ICM Probabilities Common Probabilities Variance & Results Entering Pots Preflop Being Table Captain Flop Dynamics Types of Flops Streets of Value Cognition 101 Professionalism Writing & Saving Your HandsIn terms of equity versus an opponent’s calling range, your bluffing range is at its strongest preflop, but that equity diminishes as the hand progresses. In a nutshell, though, it is the likelihood that your opponent will fold to your bet. My best guess is it's for some combination of protection and fold equity with the set blocker versus OtB's merged 1/6 flop betting range?I ran this through a preflop equity calculator, and assuming that most opponents are shoving with medium-large pocket pairs and combinations of broadways, hands like 56s, 67s actually have the MOST preflop equity… beating even aces, especially if the other 2 aces are accounted for. Push/Fold: The Short Stack. Fold equity - factorii pe care trebuie să îi iei în calcul. Anyway, the article provides some solid advice, but I think for beginners there are a bunch of. For example, in the. This is because standard equity calculations assume the pot gets checked down, disregarding equity realization, position, implied odds, range advantage, and other postflop factors that affect your hand’s actual value. There’s much more fold equity if you can 3 bet to something in the $20 - $30 range. i. Fold equity is an important concept, although it's a concept that tends mainly towards tournaments. As a result you need to tighten up your 3bet range. The higher your fold equity, the more likely an opponent will fold against a bet or a raise. Our guiding light in these situations is the pot odds – or what price the pot is laying us to make this call. To further clarify. This is something that BlackRain79 discusses in much. On the turn V makes a 2/3 pot bet. We face a 5-bet all-in and get to make a profitable call off with AK. a standard Early Position raise of 2. Meanwhile you have the bottomest of pairs and a six high flushdraw. If you start worrying too much about fold equity, when the player across from you doesn’t have enough experience to fold many hands, you’re wasting time. Folding when you have a chance of winning at showdown The greater your chance of winning, the more your hand suffers from folding its equity. Things like fold equity and maybe even game flow (if useful for exploitation) emerge naturally from deep learning Like I said, making a balanced poker bot is straightforward. If you’ve got a 1,500 chip starting stack, the 6 max blinds and antes at the 50/100 level could be 210 chips and collecting these adds 14% to your stack. Emotional Numbing. Many more concepts are involved like ranges and fold equity that can make the EV calculations much more difficult. It’s that simple! Let’s look at an example to calculate the poker equity using the rule of 4 and 2. We can even do very complex fold equity calculations with the same process: Let's say your question is: "The pot is $256, my bet is $340, 3 players, one of them only have $130 left. A…Erin Abramsohn. We see BB calls 42% of the time with pretty much anything in the range that has flopped some sort of equity, and folding 48% of the time with the complete misses. You won the entire pot employing fold equity and your opponent folding. 1. 3b is too small. This is really where the separation between poor and competent players begins. 短碼(~50bb)我傾向pre-flop有fold equity(對手會蓋小手對)直接shove all in搶盲Villain’s 3-bet suggests a strong range, though it should contain a number of bluffs for balance: Red = 3-bet, Pink = 3-bet or fold, Orange/red = 3-bets or calls. ENROLL FOR JUST $5. If an opposing player folds, you’ll win the pot uncontested. Tonight is my live cash debut. It is also applied frequently in tournament poker as the variations in. In SplitSuit’s video “ Simple Squeezes ” he introduced and used a powerful spreadsheet that he created. Try it for free at solutions • Practice GTO • Analyze hand history Timecod. Draw conclusions. Él dice que tiene patrimonial de R $ 2,9 millón. Villain is effective at $500. 12 he…Fold equity es una de las claves para el poker agresivo. SB calls and all else fold and we go to the flop HU. Fold equity is displayed as a percentage, although it also has a monetary value attached to it. If an opposing player folds, you’ll win the pot uncontested. Fold equity is a concept in poker strategy that is especially important when a player becomes short-stacked in a no limit (or possibly pot limit) tournament. At SPR 3, you would need $300/$700 = 43% equity to call a $300 bet. Shuffle up and deal! Official subreddit for all things poker. Position is a really big deal in poker. 65 * -$500) = $350 – $325 = $25. Hero is dealt A♣ A ♥ on the BTN. 35 * $1,000) + (0. BB: t45350 18. What Does Fold Equity Mean? The profitability of any bet is determined by combining your calculated fold equity with your pot equity (the percentage likelihood of winning the pot with your hand at that moment. Join Date: Jan 2017 Posts: 1,536. They want to see as many flops as possible because their strategy is just to play a pot as cheaply as possible, and by limping they don’t have to invest that much money. Contra un rango del 10% tienes una equity del 53%. 51%, the player must fold. . If he folds less than 38% of the time, the bet is outright -EV. CryptoFold equity refers to the value that a hand has simply by betting or raising such that all opposing hands, including better hands, may fold. This is especially true when you are in position. Fold equity in poker is the likelihood of your opponent folding to your bet or raise. Remember that capitalising on fold equity to steal blinds was one of the primary reasons for open-raising. Preflop Skills. 4. Nevertheless, you can still do it by keeping up your play and thinking about the game away from the tables. A continuation bet, by definition, is a mini-bluff using the fold equity you've gained by being the pre-flop raiser. Vs. A fold technically isn't 'wrong' here, a flat just doesn't work at all. GameStop Moderna Pfizer Johnson & Johnson AstraZeneca Walgreens Best Buy Novavax SpaceX Tesla. His huge fold equity is much more relevant and also why it's a low variance play imo. The classic equation looks like this: risk/(risk+reward) Where risk is the amount to bluff and reward is the pot you gain if they. CryptoIn FL we have way less fold-equity on final-street and way less implied-odds vs bad opponents when we hit. We generate fold equity preflop; We still have very good equity when called, even if we end up being a small dog; Most players do not punish us anywhere close to enough with 4bets; To illustrate this last point, an expert winning short-handed player will typically have a 4bet range of 4-5%. Here are some reasonable defending ranges vs. Let’s say you bet top-two on the turn, and your opponent folds a flush draw. No problem, you can make these yourself using free pio. Equity denial is a concept I have been talking about for several years that has finally come to the forefront of poker thinking. Solvers often fold hands with more than enough raw equity and call hands without sufficient equity. 3. On coordinated boards, our bluffing success will be low. So whereas the ultimate test for Go is defeating the top Go champions in the world, because Go is a supremely balanced game, I think the ultimate test for no-limit poker. In smaller SPR pots you can use a fold equity calculator and Equilab to see how often a player would need to fold versus your shoves…and you can go a step further and use Flopzilla to estimate how often a player actually hits. Denying equity from worse hands that can outdraw you can be thought of as a form of fold equity. Although solver outputs can look quite different with shallower stacks, the same principles apply: strong hands grow the pot 📈 medium strength hands pot control, weak hands bluff or give up, and draws navigate between fold equity and equity realization. 에퀴티 (Equity) 현재 팟에서 자신의 수학적 기대값으로, 팟에 있는 금액에 자신의 이길 확률을 곱하여 계산합니다. Shuffle up and deal! Official subreddit for all things poker. You will find this means that hole. Thinking About Hand RangesYes, poker and Holdem specifically isn’t only about draws and +EV calls. The general rule is: "An overcard on the turn or river increases fold. La fold equity entre en ligne de compte dans le calcul d' EV d'une mise ou d'une relance. If V is folding, say, 40% of his opening range to a 3-bet, that fold equity doesn't change if you 3-bet 64s, 87o, or A2s. Throw in that sweet sweet fold equity and it’s not so tragic. Shuffle up and deal! Official subreddit for all things poker. That combined with some added fold equity makes AQo a good candidate for a bluff squeeze. The difference is that rather than considering our pot-equity to obtain values of P (winning) and P (losing) we will consider our fold-equity. To calculate the EV of this bet, we simply multiply the probability of each outcome (as a decimal) by its respective result, and add them together (for a less hands-on approach,. Let's use the formula to calculate our EV! EV = (0. BB’s MDF says they defend 75% of their range, and fold, at most, 25% vs this sizing. Live Reads. Exploiting. The balance between collecting on fold equity and equity realization is a constant struggle for good players and something you will need to actively work on. Fold Equity. 6591 x -$154 = -$101. Fold equity este unul dintre conceptele fundamentale din poker, permiţându-ţi să faci un bet într-o situaţie în care nu eşti favoritul mâinii. Moreover, consider his equity when called. Some online poker sites like PokerStars and 888poker also offer solver tools. Let’s look at an example to calculate fold equity. There are very few professional 5-card draw players. As you can see, there are a few counter-intuitive lines you ought to be taking with these middling pocket pairs, both when hitting the jackpot and when missing it. In such situations, it is better to prioritize. The average poker player has a 4bet range of closer to. 5. This means that when either an ace or a king rolls off on the turn or the river, your bets will render a ton of fold equity. pocket kings once. But if a very competent reg asks this question you have to take it with a. The more fold equity, the more profitable the bluff, and the less fold equity, the more should you be willing to give up altogether and count your losses. Mostly. If a player folds to 3-bets a standard amount or higher, say 55% and up, tend to polarize your 3-bets. The average raise is about 4BB, and the raise is on many cards, and not just on the top ones. Contra un rango del 10% tienes una equity del 53%. However, if you bet or. It is the equity a player can expect to gain due to the opponent folding to his or her bets. In summary, game theory suggests that due to having a big equity advantage, BU’s range should frequently bet for either value, as a bluff, or for equity denial on a low paired flop. He said to have equity of R $ 2,9 millions. 4% raw equity to call against a min. The fact we can win a pot without having the best hand is a central feature of the game. Flop: 8♦ K♣ 2♦. Your Hand: 3♦ 4♦. Huh, so one of Buzzfeed's ex-employee's did follow my advice of learning to code. . For example, if there’s a 33 percent chance your opponent will fold to a bet in a $100 pot, you have 33% fold equity (worth $33) in that pot. 0. BB will have to fold a lot on these boards due to his weak range and this will help BU’s EV when he bets. ($256 + $340 * 2 + $130) * 10% - $340. Fold Equity. In non-dictionary speak, this means that it is a smaller buy-in event that the winner gets a ticket or entry into a larger buy-in event. Equity Denial. The term is typically used in the context of call-versus-raise or bet-versus-check decisions. Game dynamics changes the fold equity relative to the ratio of big blinds risked. For hands with tiny value equity like those small pocket pairs, fold equity is the main source of equity, so 22 can get more stronger hands to fold than 33 can. No matter if your hand improves on the flop or not, fold equity gives you the credit you need for your opponents' to lay-down to you. This is something many poker. Ranges can interact with the. The fold equity equation is a simple calculation that involves two main components: the likelihood your opponent folds and the potential gain in equity if they do. You would need to fire like 20 BB to get them down to 2. Ryan’s 25% pot bet gets a fold despite his QQ heavily blocking his opponent’s folding range (hands like QJ, KQ, AQ, etc. Shuffle up and deal! Official subreddit for all things poker. opponents, hands like 10s, Js or Qs (even badly-played Ks) that don't 4-bet pre-flop. Against competent regs, it’s usually better to polarize your 3-betting range from the big blind and use a 3-bet or fold strategy from the small blind. Folding a hand with one out on the river doesn’t cost you much, as you probably weren’t going to win anyway. what is reverse fold equity? edit: and 1rd obv . As with anything in poker, adjusting versus aggressive players in position is a lot easier than adjusting out of position. Research relevant concepts (optional) Formulate your hypothesis. Insane Habit Getting in the Way: You don't think about what bet size will maximize your value or maximize your fold equity. Another way we might be entitled to more of the pot than our equity suggests is by leveraging fold equity on the river, when Villain was barrelling the turn as a bluff and then check/folds. You should always fold in this situation because you lack the equity and the playability to make a profitable call. Hero has a 10BB stack. Free Squeeze Math Spreadsheet. Against a 10% range you have an equity of 53%. Betting for value. The risk of being denied that equity discourages calls from some hands that could have called if BTN also had just 9BB. Bluff spot from yesterday. Strip everything away and fold equity is the probability a player will fold to a bet or raise. A fold equity calculator is a powerful tool that you can use to see how often your opponent must fold when you are shoving your stack. 5$ I decide to…How much fold equity he has (blocker effects taken into consideration) How much equity he will have against the calling range; How the expected values (EV) compare between calling and raising; Using the power of solvers, we learned that building a non-all-in 3-betting strategy at 15bb effective stack is sub-optimal. Use the Fold Equity calculator yourself to practice and study shoving in poker. Dr. yes. You gain EV from folding worse hands that can outdraw you, however, you also gain EV when worse hands call you. Thinking About Hand Ranges Yes, poker and Holdem specifically isn’t only about draws and +EV calls. How is fold equity calculated? There’s a pretty simple formula that will help you. For example, if the pot is $100 and you think there is a 35% chance your opponent folds to a bet, you have 35% fold equity worth $35. The Double Zone. Él dice que tiene patrimonial de R $ 2,9 millón. Typically you’d rather have worse hands call you. Where The Money Comes From. This is an issue of equity, health, and justice. This means if villain will fold 38% of the time, this bet is breakeven. It is possible to have a multi-faceted hand which has additional components to go with a flush draw – such as a pair or a straight draw. That's not guaranteed at all. flop is fine it wants to range bet, but it wants to basically range x turn. ). GTOWizard helps you to learn GTO and analyze your game. One important advantage of using HRC for creating push-fold ranges is that it is fast, and allows a simple incorporation of the “ICM effects” mentioned above. Specifically, Ace-Ten offsuit is worth raising from every position at a 6-handed table. Ranges. Rarely, if ever, is a thinking player going to call with a worse hand. Demonstration of fold equity strategy – A situational example. They are similar to stations in that they do not often fold to c-bets, except these guys also use their raise button and understand the fundamental concept of pressure and fold equity. If you can get opposing players to fold often, you’ll start to increase your profits drastically. However, BU does not want to make big bets. MP calls. Fold Equity. Eureka we have found the answer, fold equity is -79%. This is something that BlackRain79 discusses in much. . 25x the big blind. or just $240 (the pot) Smaller bet sizes on wet boards are ineffective, as they let your opponent(s) realize their equity too easily. See full list on mypokercoaching. My bluffs would all contain blockers to villains value hands (suited aces). CryptoThis is a a spot where my opponent is very likely to be strong and there isn't really any fold equity or much dead money, so 4bet jamming AQo for 65bb seems like a losing play. Furthermore, BB simply cannot realize their equity. 66 = $97. Most importantly, he has no fold equity. If a player folds to 3-bets a standard amount or higher, say 55% and up, tend to polarize your 3-bets. Final Thoughts. On the other hand, is your chance of winning when you showdown your hand. In late position, you can open it up a great deal, but if there. For example, if the pot is $100 and you think there is a 35% chance your opponent folds to a bet, you have 35% fold equity worth $35. Nl10 zoom 6max 120bb effective UTG opens, I 3bet TT from SB, he calls Flop 9d8s2s, I bet 1. Business, Economics, and Finance. Learn how to capitalize on that table image in future hands and boom, you’re a 2/5 crusher. All of these fundamentals impact every poker decision you’re going to make at. If you are looking for a free poker equity calculator, launch the PokerNews one and use it to recreate any scenarios you lived at the. e. Check out our PRO Poker Membership today for just $50/month! Game Theory Optimal poker, better known as GTO, has taken the poker world by storm in recent years. Imaginea ta la masa de joc. For example, 8 ♥ 7 ♥ is a great bluffing hand on a K♣ Q♣ 6 ♥ flop. With fold equity, poker online games get a lot more interesting. 4:1 so hard to fold them. When someone limps before us, our fold equity decreases so it is only natural that the bottom of our stealing range from late position becomes a fold when others have already entered the pot. 35 * $1,000) + (0. But Linus is an extremely strong player, so this is likely a major mistake by Berri. There were still 240 big blinds back on the turn and nearly 160 in the pot, meaning that if he. Before you go all-in with your next semi-bluff, or go all-in preflop with a bluff, use this tool to make sure your play is +EV! Fold Equity. Yet there is surprisingly little poker theory written about how to win satellite tournaments, until now. So at deeper stacks there’s a lot more incentive to create a SB flatting range. % of Your. Fold equity is a more elusory concept because we can’t truly know how often our opponent will fold. He said to have equity of R $ 2,9 millions. Fold equity refers to the probability of getting an opponent to fold. How to Play Middle Set on A♦ 8♠️ 6♠️ K♠️ for $15,747 (PLO Analysis) $25/$50 Pot Limit Omaha is a BIG game. Now would be a good time to switch gears and benefit from your confused opponents paying you off light. The takeawayIn general, does this shove have much fold equity against an under the gun raise? GR: Sure. You. If a player pushes all in against a single opponent, that player. We don't have sufficient overall fold equity for a continuation bet bluff to be immediately profitable. This guide will walk you through the concept of fold equity, explain the formula, provide step-by-step examples, and answer common questions to help you become a more formidable poker player. Fold equity; Lots of dead money in the pot; Let me expand on the latter with an example: Example: Mid-Stage Poker Tournament. I feel 3-bets here aren’t bad but only if seat 1 was deaper stacked. 3. Strip everything away and fold equity is the probability a player will fold to a bet or raise. Conclusion. and a fold to pocket aces. Fold equity: Fold equity is simple; your raise tells the other players that you have a strong hand. Good opponents will usually have a fold to continuation bet somewhere around 42%–57% at the lower stakes. 1. For example, suppose the turn is very bad for your range to the point that you only want to bet your very strongest hands. Nevertheless, you can still do it by keeping up your play and thinking about the game away from the tables. Weak draws won’t have a lot of pot equity, so you will need more fold equity to make them profitable. You can always start off. You don’t capture any. Backdoor Equity: Backdoor is a term used in poker when players need two more cards to make a hand. The P (losing) must then equal 100% - 50% = 50% or 0. Some may even have had us dominated, such as when they fold Q♣6 ♦, etc. Unfortunately it feels like a fold for a couple of reasons. There is now a lot more money in the pot, so the value of your fold equity goes up. The concept of fold equity has always been with us, though its name is somewhat new. ). Klein's hand is super vulnerable. Red Chip Poker is a team of poker authors and coaches looking to improve your game. Yet, understanding the concept of fold equity will allow you to recognize situations like these where you can gain. If your range consisted of 30. Equity dictates you fold, because now you are a 2 to 1 underdog to win the hand, and with having to pay 9,000 to win 16,500, the pot is not offering you 2 to 1 odds. If you are peeling KQs you are going to be dominated by all combos of AK. A SnG (sit n go) or STT (single table tournament) is a poker tournament that takes place over a short period of time and is usually played on only one table. 2. Fold equity = (khả năng đối thủ sẽ fold) * (equity hand bài của đối thủ). 2. How to Calculate Fold Equity in Poker? Fold Equity = % of Your Opponent Folding X Opponent’s Hand Equity. GameStop Moderna Pfizer Johnson & Johnson AstraZeneca Walgreens Best Buy Novavax SpaceX Tesla. 65 * -$500) = $350 – $325 = $25. This makes stealing the blinds and antes sitting in the pot very valuable, and this is the perfect time to make full use of fold equity. old hand. It's also because the extra equity (from the bd draw otf) evaporates, but you'll have other bluff candidates that tend to retain their equity better. They will then both fold (1/2) × (1/2) = 25 percent or 1/4 of the time. Gives roughly 34% equity in the total pot. Fold equity is an important concept, although it's a concept that tends mainly towards tournaments. These differences also impact the way that such hands should be played. For example, consider that suited connectors have around 30–40 percent equity before the flop against most of the hands your opponent will continue with. You get so much fold equity by shoving. Here is the math on 3 bet pre-flop out of position versus open the flop. ICM is a widely used mathematical model that is used to determine your equity in a tournament based on your current chip amount and the payout structure of that tournament. Inevitably, opponents would have folded hands with better raw equity. You have a ton of equity, almost regardless of what the villain has. The flop reads 6♣ 7♣ 2♥. ) All of a sudden you have a pair of eights and, well, showdown value. Everything else is just a product of that. Knowing how often you need your opponent to fold is a key part of this process, hence we built a calculator to find that number. One of the first steps to poker enlightenment is a recognition of the importance of fold equity. For example, if he limp-folds a decent amount, you can loosen your requirements for iso-raising since you have added fold equity preflop, which allows you to profit with a wider range of hands. There should be a polar small 4 bet range with hands like AA/KK and bluffs, but TT is better to just rip and apply max pressure/fold out equity. Betting does have merit particularly on certain disconnected flops (such as K-7-5) because you will generate a lot of fold equity even with a small bet. 51 into 2. We don't have sufficient overall fold equity for a continuation bet bluff to be immediately profitable. General Theorem: Project a nitty image but 3bet like a. You want to have the right risk-reward ratio and the right fold equity. We calculate this a little differently than poker equity, factoring in the likelihood that the. Pose a question. GTOWizard helps you to learn GTO and analyze your game. Again, fish and shitregs have no concept of how to calculate fold equity. We have a flush draw with 9 outs. As an example, let’s suppose Player 1 had. That’s a fancy way of saying it gives you an extra chance at winning: if they get scared and fold, congratulations!Open menu Open navigation Go to Reddit Home. For example, if the player in the BB is very short-stacked, he will be calling a lot, so your fold equity will diminish, meaning you should play tighter ranges and mostly shove value hands. The second part is the equity obtained when the opponent(s) fold to your raise (i. Small blind donks $60 gets two callers I fold my pocket 8s in the cut off and the button raises to $150. 3409 x $252 = $85. Clearly, if they make it two bets, you should always. $250 effective. 11-15 Big Blinds. This is the most complete poker course ever created, taking you from the poker fundamentals you NEED to know all the way to the advanced plays you WANT to know. Equity Denial. The concept comes from semi-bluffing, a bet made with a hand that’s probably not the best hand right now, but a hand that stands a good chance of outdrawing any. Commonly used in game theory analysis. In this case, you should be continuation betting less as a bluff and more for value. A three-bet is therefore the first reraise (i. The most common number of players to take place in a SNG is six or ten, although games with only two players or multi table sit and gos do exist. New treatment. With $100 in the effective stack and $100 in the pot, the SPR was $100/$100 = 1. You could also add “3bet bluffs’ to your range to “balance” this out and not be so predictable. The action went L,L,L $20, Call. ) And we put ourselves into a tricky situation if the villain shoves on us. 4. As you can see, our edge here is very small, but we should still make this call. Players who limp like to see flops. Cal Lightman. For example, if you have a hand like bottom pair on the flop, getting your opponent to fold two overcards is a good result, as that hand has a good chance of beating ours if we check back.